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Anthony Davis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-130/+100).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -130.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Out of all players in the NBA, Anthony Davis places in the 93rd percentile for field goals made while on his home court, totaling a whopping 8.5 per game this year.Among all players in the league, Anthony Davis ranks in the 95th percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 34.5 minutes per game while on his home court this year.The Lakers check in as the 2nd-most efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.The fastest tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Lakers.While at home, the Rockets have allowed the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.7) in the NBA to the other team since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Relative to last year's 16.3% mark, Anthony Davis's 3-point ability has diminished this year to 12.5%.This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting Cs have averaged 0.1 3-pointers per game (14th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets, making this a tough matchup.The Rockets have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which should lead to fewer plays for the Los Angeles Lakers.Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, but the Lakers grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with just 8.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.In contrast to last season's 7.6 rate, Anthony Davis's number of free throws has regressed this season to 6.4 free throws per game.
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