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Anthony Davis

Anthony Davis Points
Player Prop - 5/20/2023

Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets

Anthony Davis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -122.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Anthony Davis has successfully made 8.7 shots made from the field per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Anthony Davis has sunk 66.7% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 43.5% more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season.

The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league this year.

The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the NBA this year.

Anthony Davis has attempted 7.6 foul shots per game this season, a significant increase from his 6.1 mark last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Anthony Davis has averaged 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's averaged in all games this season.

The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a challenging one for shots from the field; the other team's starting Cs have shot for the 9th-lowest Field Goal% in the league this year (56.5%).

The Nuggets have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Lakers.

The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Away from their home court, the Nuggets have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the league to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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