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Anthony Davis

Anthony Davis Assists
Player Prop - 12/2/2023

Los Angeles Lakers vs Houston Rockets

Anthony Davis Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-156/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -132 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -156.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Anthony Davis has totaled 3.3 assists per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 80th percentile -- one of the best in the league by this metric.

Among all players in the league, Anthony Davis ranks in the 95th percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 34.5 minutes per game while on his home court this year.

The fastest tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Lakers.

While at home, the Rockets have allowed the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.7) in the NBA to the other team since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Anthony Davis will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home generally improves player performance in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the league, Anthony Davis places in the 79th percentile for personal fouls, compiling an enormous 2.6 fouls per game this year.

The Rockets have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which should lead to fewer plays for the Los Angeles Lakers.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, but the Lakers grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with just 8.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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