Anthony Davis Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/12/2023

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Anthony Davis

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Davis

F-C · Los Angeles Lakers

Assists

Los Angeles Lakers vs New York Knicks · Mar 12, 2023

Updated Mar 12, 2023 10:36 PM EST

Analysis

Anthony Davis Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-128/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Davis has posted 4.6 assists per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 1.2 more than he's posted overall this year at home.
Anthony Davis has averaged 34.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 96th percentile.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Knicks have given up the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Anthony Davis will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage tends to improves player performance across the board.

Favors Under

Anthony Davis has committed 2.5 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 78th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The Knicks have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league while traveling this year, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Lakers.
The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

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