Anthony Black Points - Player Prop Bet 12/17/2023

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Anthony Black

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Black

G · Orlando Magic

Points

Boston Celtics vs Orlando Magic · Dec 17, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 8:18 PM UTC

Analysis

Anthony Black Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+108/-132).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 3.1 three-pointers per game (30th-most in the league) against the Boston Celtics, labeling this as a strong matchup.
The Magic have played at the 6th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home.
The Boston Celtics have given up the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
In terms of getting to the charity stripe, the Magic's stellar 27.3 free throw attempts per game settles in as the 2nd-best in the NBA this year.

Favors Under

Anthony Black has sunk 26.9% of his shots from downtown this year, ranking him in the 25th percentile among all players in the league.
The Celtics have played at the 4th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should reduce possessions for the Magic.
The Magic check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games as the away team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Anthony Black has successfully made 65.2% of his foul shots this year, ranking in the 19th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 2.3 foul shots per game (15th-fewest in the league) against the Boston Celtics, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

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