Anfernee Simons Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/19/2024

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Anfernee Simons

NBA · Player Props

Anfernee Simons

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Rebounds

Portland Trail Blazers vs Denver Nuggets · Dec 19, 2024

Updated Dec 20, 2024 3:16 AM EST

Analysis

Anfernee Simons Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-125/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should boost opportunities for the Portland Trail Blazers.
The Portland Trail Blazers check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Anfernee Simons is expected to see an increase in output in all stat categories considering enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Anfernee Simons has averaged 0.1 offensive boards per game while playing at home this year, placing him in the 15th percentile -- one of the worst in the league by this metric.
The 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Trail Blazers.

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