Anfernee Simons Points - Player Prop Bet 3/27/2025

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Anfernee Simons

NBA · Player Props

Anfernee Simons

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Portland Trail Blazers · Mar 27, 2025

Updated Mar 28, 2025 2:29 AM EST

Analysis

Anfernee Simons Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anfernee Simons has attempted 21.4 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 3.9 higher than he's attempted in all games this season on the road.
Anfernee Simons has played 32.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 88th percentile.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 6th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home court.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, and the Portland Trail Blazers rank best in in the league with 16.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Anfernee Simons has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games on the road, 11.8% higher than he's converted over the course of the season while playing away from home.

Favors Under

As it relates to scoring, the Portland Trail Blazers's unimpressive 108.4 points per game while on the road measures as the 6th-worst in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. Sacramento is a tough one for 3-pointers; when the Sacramento Kings have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PGs have compiled the 9th-lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (30.6%).
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Trail Blazers.
Anfernee Simons will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually decreases stat production for all stats.

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