Anfernee Simons Points - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2025

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Anfernee Simons

NBA · Player Props

Anfernee Simons

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Boston Celtics vs Portland Trail Blazers · Mar 5, 2025

Updated Mar 6, 2025 3:59 AM EST

Analysis

Anfernee Simons Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anfernee Simons has attempted 19.2 shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.5 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.
Anfernee Simons has tallied 32.5 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 88th percentile.
The matchup vs. the Boston Celtics is a positive one for three-pointers; the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled the most shots from downtown per game in the NBA this year (3.0).
The 3rd-fastest pace team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Portland Trail Blazers.
The Portland Trail Blazers rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Portland Trail Blazers check in as the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year.
The Trail Blazers will likely experience a decrease in plays today from facing the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Celtics).
This year, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 2.3 foul shots per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Boston Celtics, finding it difficult to draw fouls.
Anfernee Simons should experience a decrease in efficiency across the board in light of playing on the visting team in this game.

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