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Anfernee Simons

Anfernee Simons Points
Player Prop - 2/12/2025

Denver Nuggets vs Portland Trail Blazers

Anfernee Simons Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Anfernee Simons has sunk 8.6 shots made from the field per game over the last 10 games on the road, 1.4 higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season away from home.

Anfernee Simons has made 4.0 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.8 more than he's made in all games this year when playing away from home.

Anfernee Simons has played 32.3 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 86th percentile.

The Trail Blazers are expected to see a spike in plays today from competing against the 4th-fastest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Denver Nuggets).

Offensive rebounds save possession and produce further chances for scoring and assists, and the Portland Trail Blazers grade out 5th-best in in the league with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Portland Trail Blazers rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league while playing away from home this year.

The matchup vs. Denver is a difficult one for threes; when the Nuggets are at home, opposing starting PGs have shot for the 2nd-lowest three percentage in the league this year (20.5%).

The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.

Anfernee Simons will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road tends to decrease player production for all stats.

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