Anfernee Simons Points - Player Prop Bet 12/26/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Anfernee Simons

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Utah Jazz · Dec 26, 2024

Updated Dec 27, 2024 3:09 AM EST

Analysis

Anfernee Simons Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anfernee Simons has scored 24.0 points per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 5.7 higher than he's scored overall this season at home.
Anfernee Simons has made 3.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.1 more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the season when playing at home.
The Jazz have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 15 games while traveling, which ought to increase possessions for the Portland Trail Blazers.
The Portland Trail Blazers check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Anfernee Simons will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city usually improves player performance in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Anfernee Simons has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while at home, 0.8 more than he's tallied overall this season at home.
With respect to offense, the Portland Trail Blazers's lackluster 107.1 points per game ranks 4th-fewest in the league this year.
The matchup against the Jazz is a challenging one for three-pointers; the opposition's starting PGs have compiled the lowest 3-point percentage in the league this year (26.5%).
The 5th-slowest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Portland Trail Blazers.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 2.4 foul shots per game (4th-lowest in the league) vs. the Jazz, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.