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Anfernee Simons

Anfernee Simons Points
Player Prop - 12/19/2024

Portland Trail Blazers vs Denver Nuggets

Anfernee Simons Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-130/-103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -137 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -103.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Anfernee Simons has successfully made 56.5% of his field goals over the last 5 games at home, 12.9% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year playing at home.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should boost opportunities for the Portland Trail Blazers.

The Portland Trail Blazers check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Among all players in the league, Anfernee Simons rates in the 90th percentile for free-throw proficiency with a stellar 89.3% rate this year.

The matchup vs. the Nuggets may be a good one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a massive 5.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games (4th-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Trail Blazers rank as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

The matchup vs. Denver is a hard one for 3-point attempts; when the Denver Nuggets are the visiting team, the other team's starting PGs have averaged the least three attempts per game in the league this year (4.5).

The 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Trail Blazers.

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