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Anfernee Simons

Anfernee Simons Points
Player Prop - 2/4/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Portland Trail Blazers

 
 
 
Anfernee Simons Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Anfernee Simons has tallied 27.6 points per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 5.1 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year on the road.
  • Anfernee Simons has converted 4.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.7 more than he's made from downtown overall this year when playing on the road.
  • Out of all players in the league, Anfernee Simons rates in the 86th percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 32.6 minutes per game on the road this year.
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The matchup against Denver may be a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PGs have attempted a whopping 6.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Denver Nuggets are on their home court (28th-most in the NBA).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Anfernee Simons has tallied 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 1.1 higher than he's tallied overall this year on the road.
  • As it relates to shooting, the Portland Trail Blazers's lackluster 106.0 points per game on the road comes in as the lowest in the league this year.
  • The matchup vs. Denver is a hard one for three-point shots; when the Nuggets are on their home court, opposing starting PGs have posted the 14th-lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (20.5%).
  • The Trail Blazers have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
  • The Denver Nuggets have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Portland Trail Blazers.

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