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Anfernee Simons

Anfernee Simons Points
Player Prop - 1/15/2023

Portland Trail Blazers vs Dallas Mavericks

Anfernee Simons Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -123.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Anfernee Simons has attempted 9.8 shots from downtown per game this season, a big improvement over his 7.8 rate last season.

Anfernee Simons has converted an impressive 3.7 shots from downtown per game this season, a significant increase from his 3.1 rate last season.

Anfernee Simons has averaged 35.1 minutes per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 95th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.

The Portland Trail Blazers rank as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year while at home.

While playing on the road, the Mavericks have allowed the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the NBA to the other team this year (which can also lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Anfernee Simons has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 77th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.

The matchup against the Mavericks is a tough one for scoring; away from home, opposing squads have compiled the 5th-lowest field goal rate in the league this year (49.6%).

The Portland Trail Blazers rank as the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of field goal attempts.

The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace in the NBA this year.

The Trail Blazers have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA away from their home stadium this year, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Mavericks.

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