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Anfernee Simons

Anfernee Simons Assists
Player Prop - 1/3/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Portland Trail Blazers

Anfernee Simons Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-155/+125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Anfernee Simons has compiled an impressive 5.3 assists per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 4.1 assists per game last season.

Anfernee Simons has tallied 34.2 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 91st percentile.

The Portland Trail Blazers will likely see an increase in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 5th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Portland Trail Blazers grade out 2ndbest in in the league with 13.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Anfernee Simons measures in the 75th percentile for technical fouls, logging a monstrous 0.0 fouls per game when playing away from home this year.

The 5th-least up-tempo pace away offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Portland Trail Blazers.

This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing squads have collected 12.3 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Mavericks (preserving possessions that can lead to added chances for offense).

Anfernee Simons will likely suffer a reduction in productivity across the board on account of playing on the visting team in this game.

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