Andrew Wiggins Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/7/2024

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Andrew Wiggins

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Wiggins

F · Golden State Warriors

Rebounds

Golden State Warriors vs Toronto Raptors · Jan 7, 2024

Updated Jan 8, 2024 1:42 AM EST

Analysis

Andrew Wiggins Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+113/-147).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +113.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andrew Wiggins has compiled 1.8 offensive rebounds per game this year at home, putting him among the NBA's leaders in this category over this stretch of games: 88th percentile.
The Warriors will likely see a rise in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Toronto Raptors).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to more chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors rank 15thbest in in the league at home with 12.9 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.
This year, the other team has grabbed 10.1 offensive boards per game (5th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Raptors (minimizing possessions that could otherwise generate added opportunities for offense).
Andrew Wiggins figures to see a rise in output in all stat categories considering holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

The 7th-slowest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Golden State Warriors.

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