Andrew Wiggins Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/14/2023

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Andrew Wiggins

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Wiggins

F · Golden State Warriors

Rebounds

Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Nov 14, 2023

Updated Nov 15, 2023 3:04 AM EST

Analysis

Andrew Wiggins Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last year's 3.0 clip, Andrew Wiggins's personal fouls per game have fallen this year to 2.2.
The Warriors will likely get a boost in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 7th-fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year (the Timberwolves).
The Golden State Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
Without the home court advantage, the Minnesota Timberwolves have allowed the 7th-least offensive boards per game (9.5) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Andrew Wiggins will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city tends to improve player production across the board.

Favors Under

Andrew Wiggins has put up just 3.7 rebounds per game this season, significantly less than his 5.2 rebounds per game last season.
In contrast to last year's 32.1 clip, Andrew Wiggins's playing time has regressed this year to 25.6 minutes per game.
The 6th-most lethargic tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Golden State Warriors.

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