Andrew Wiggins Points - Player Prop Bet 4/28/2025

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Andrew Wiggins

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Wiggins

F · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Apr 28, 2025

Updated Apr 28, 2025 11:08 PM EST

Analysis

Andrew Wiggins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andrew Wiggins has sunk 51.7% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games at home, 10.8% higher than he's made over the course of the season while at home.
Andrew Wiggins has been on the court for 35.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 more than he's been on the court for overall this season.
In terms of scoring, the Heat's terrific 114.5 points per game places 8th-strongest in the NBA over the last 10 games.
Andrew Wiggins has successfully made a terrific 3.2 free throws per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 2.0 mark last season.
Over the last 20 games when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 4.4 free throws per game (2nd-most in the NBA) vs. the Cavaliers, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers is a tough one for shot attempts from downtown; the other team's starting SFs have tallied the 3rd-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.9).
The 2nd-most sluggish tempo home offense in the league this year has been the Miami Heat.
The Miami Heat are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from facing the 10th-most sluggish tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Cavaliers).
The Heat check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the home team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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