Andrew Wiggins Points - Player Prop Bet 4/18/2025

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Andrew Wiggins

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Wiggins

F · Miami Heat

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat · Apr 18, 2025

Updated Apr 18, 2025 10:53 PM EST

Analysis

Andrew Wiggins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andrew Wiggins has attempted 13.8 shots per game when playing away from home this year, ranking in the 87th percentile among all players in the league.
Among all players in the NBA, Andrew Wiggins rates in the 87th percentile for shot attempts from downtown, totaling 5.9 per game this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Andrew Wiggins places in the 82nd percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 30.5 minutes per game away from his home court this year.
This year when they are on the road, opposing starting SFs have averaged 60.1% on threes (best in the league) vs. the Atlanta Hawks, making this a good matchup.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA in their home city this year, which ought to increase opportunities for the Miami Heat.

Favors Under

The 3rd-most lethargic pace team in the league this year has been the Miami Heat.
The Miami Heat check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 2.0 foul shots per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Hawks, struggling to draw fouls.
Andrew Wiggins will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally reduces player performance in all stat categories.

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