Andrew Wiggins Points - Player Prop Bet 3/27/2025

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Andrew Wiggins

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Wiggins

F · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks · Mar 27, 2025

Updated Mar 28, 2025 2:29 AM EST

Analysis

Andrew Wiggins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-103/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andrew Wiggins has converted 9.6 buckets per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.7 higher than he's sunk over the course of the season when playing at home.
Compared to last season's 3.6 rate, Andrew Wiggins's 3-point attempts have surged this season to 5.8 per game.
As it relates to three-pointers, the Heat's excellent 44.1% rate of made threes with the home court advantage ranks best in the NBA over the last 5 games.
This year, the other team's starting SFs have shot 55.3% on field goal attempts (highest in the league) against the Atlanta Hawks, branding this as a good matchup.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the fastest tempo in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Heat.

Favors Under

Andrew Wiggins has committed 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's committed in all games this season.
The slowest pace home team in the league this year has been the Heat.
The Miami Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 20 games, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 2.0 free throws per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Atlanta Hawks, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

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