Andrew Wiggins Points - Player Prop Bet 3/25/2025

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Andrew Wiggins

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Wiggins

F · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 25, 2025

Updated Mar 25, 2025 11:29 PM EST

Analysis

Andrew Wiggins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andrew Wiggins has successfully made 10.4 baskets per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.0 higher than he's sunk in all games this year playing at home.
Andrew Wiggins has attempted 5.8 shots from downtown per game this season, significantly higher than his 3.6 rate last season.
The Miami Heat check in as the 7th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 25 games while on their home court.
The matchup against the Warriors is a favorable one for three-pointers; the opposition's starting SFs have put up the highest three rate in the NBA this year (47.0%).
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 10th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games while traveling, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Heat.

Favors Under

Andrew Wiggins has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's been called for over the course of the year.
The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA with the home court advantage this year.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 1stworst in in the league on their home court with just 8.3 offensive boards per game this year.
This year, opposing starting SFs have attempted 2.4 foul shots per game (8th-fewest in the league) against the Warriors, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

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