Andrew Wiggins Points - Player Prop Bet 3/21/2025

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Andrew Wiggins

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Wiggins

F · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets · Mar 21, 2025

Updated Mar 22, 2025 2:59 AM EST

Analysis

Andrew Wiggins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andrew Wiggins has converted 7.6 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's made in all games this season.
Andrew Wiggins has made a whopping 2.1 three-point shots per game this season, significantly higher than his 1.3 rate last season.
Andrew Wiggins has tallied 30.8 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 82nd percentile.
With respect to shots from downtown, the Miami Heat's fantastic 38.1% rate of made threes at home measures as the 5th-best in the league over the last 25 games.
Andrew Wiggins has attempted 5.7 foul shots per game over the last 15 games, 1.4 more than he's attempted overall this year.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Houston Rockets is a tough one for 3-point shots; opposing starting PFs have shot for the lowest three rate in the league this year (21.7%).
The most sluggish pace home offense in the league this year has been the Miami Heat.
The Miami Heat will likely suffer a reduction in possessions today from being pitted against the 8th-least up-tempo pace away team in the league over the last 10 games (the Houston Rockets).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 1stworst in in the league at home with a mere 8.4 offensive boards per game this year.
The matchup vs. Houston may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SFs have attempted a lowly 2.0 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Houston Rockets are away from home (2nd-least in the league).

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