Andrew Wiggins Points - Player Prop Bet 3/14/2025

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Andrew Wiggins

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Wiggins

F · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics · Mar 14, 2025

Updated Mar 14, 2025 10:49 PM EST

Analysis

Andrew Wiggins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-105/-123).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -123.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andrew Wiggins has attempted 13.9 field goals per game this year, ranking him in the 87th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Relative to last year's 3.6 rate, Andrew Wiggins's shot attempts from beyond the arc have increased this year to 5.8 per game.
Out of all players in the league, Andrew Wiggins lands in the 81st percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 30.3 minutes per game when playing at home this year.
When it comes to three-point shots, the Heat's superb 14.3 successful threes per game on their home court places 9th-strongest in the league this year.
Andrew Wiggins has attempted 6.3 free throws per game over the last 10 games, 1.9 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.

Favors Under

This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have logged 14.5 points per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Celtics, making this a hard matchup for offensive effectiveness.
The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA as the home team this year.
The Heat will likely see a decline in possessions in this contest from competing against the slowest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Celtics).
Offensive rebounds save possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 1stworst in in the league while at home with only 8.4 offensive boards per game this year.
The matchup against Boston is a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a mere 3.1 free throws per game this year when the Celtics are the visiting team (8th-least in the league).

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