Andrew Wiggins Points - Player Prop Bet 2/23/2025

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Andrew Wiggins

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Wiggins

F · Miami Heat

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat · Feb 23, 2025

Updated Feb 24, 2025 3:34 AM EST

Analysis

Andrew Wiggins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-132/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andrew Wiggins has compiled 21.4 points per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 3.8 higher than he's compiled overall this year on the road.
Andrew Wiggins has played 36.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 5.5 higher than he's played in all games this year on the road.
In terms of 3-point shots, the Miami Heat's stellar 14.0 successful threes per game measures as the 9th-highest in the league this year.
The matchup against the Milwaukee Bucks is a strong one; they have given up the 3rd-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SFs over the last 5 games (19.8).
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should increase plays for the Heat.

Favors Under

The slowest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Heat.
The Miami Heat have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
Andrew Wiggins figures to experience a decrease in output across the board as a result of playing away from home in this matchup.

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