Andrew Wiggins Points - Player Prop Bet 2/21/2025

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Andrew Wiggins

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Wiggins

F · Miami Heat

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat · Feb 21, 2025

Updated Feb 22, 2025 2:34 AM EST

Analysis

Andrew Wiggins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andrew Wiggins has attempted 16.0 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games away from home, 2.4 higher than he's attempted in all games this year on the road.
Among all players in the NBA, Andrew Wiggins rates in the 85th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, posting 5.8 per game this year.
Andrew Wiggins has averaged 30.2 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 79th percentile.
The Heat check in as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year in terms of treys.
Andrew Wiggins has attempted 7.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 3.4 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road.

Favors Under

The matchup against Toronto is a hard one for three-point attempts; when the Toronto Raptors are at home, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied the least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (3.1).
The 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Miami Heat.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games in their home stadium, which should lead to decreased plays for the Miami Heat.
The Miami Heat rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Andrew Wiggins will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road usually worsens stat production for all stats.

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