Andrew Wiggins Points - Player Prop Bet 2/10/2025

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Andrew Wiggins

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Wiggins

F · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics · Feb 10, 2025

Updated Feb 11, 2025 3:34 AM EST

Analysis

Andrew Wiggins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andrew Wiggins has tallied 21.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.0 more than he's tallied over the course of the season.
Andrew Wiggins has played 34.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.3 higher than he's played overall this year.
In terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 5th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Heat.
This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting SFs have totaled 6.7 three attempts per game (highest in the NBA) against the Boston Celtics, identifying this as a strong matchup.
Relative to last year's 72.3% rate, Andrew Wiggins's free-throw performance has spiked this year to 81.9%.

Favors Under

The Heat have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the league when playing at home this year.
The Boston Celtics have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Miami Heat.
The Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Boston may be a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting SFs have attempted a mere 1.5 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Celtics are away from home (5th-least in the NBA).

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