Andrew Wiggins Points - Player Prop Bet 12/15/2024

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Andrew Wiggins

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Wiggins

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks · Dec 15, 2024

Updated Dec 16, 2024 1:24 AM EST

Analysis

Andrew Wiggins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-125/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andrew Wiggins has compiled 17.2 points per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 83rd percentile.
Andrew Wiggins has converted 2.2 shots from downtown per game this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile among all players in the league.
The Mavericks have played at the 6th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Golden State Warriors.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 3rd-best in in the league with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Andrew Wiggins has attempted 3.8 free throws per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile among all players in the league.

Favors Under

In regard to scoring, the Golden State Warriors's poor 104.0 points per game comes in as the 3rd-lowest in the league over the last 10 games.
The matchup against the Mavericks is a challenging one; they have allowed the 2nd-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SFs over the last 15 games (11.4).
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 10 games.
The matchup vs. Dallas is a difficult one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SFs have attempted a mere 1.6 foul shots per game this year when the Dallas Mavericks are the visiting squad (2nd-least in the NBA).

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