Andrew Wiggins Points - Player Prop Bet 4/12/2024

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Andrew Wiggins

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Wiggins

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs New Orleans Pelicans · Apr 12, 2024

Updated Apr 13, 2024 2:07 AM EST

Analysis

Andrew Wiggins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andrew Wiggins has made 42.2% of his three-pointers over the last 15 games at home, 10.0% higher than he's made from three in all games this year while playing at home.
Compared to last year's 3.0 rate, Andrew Wiggins's personal fouls per game have diminished this year to 2.1.
The 7th-speediest tempo home team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Warriors.
The Golden State Warriors rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
Andrew Wiggins has made 91.7% of his foul shots over the last 10 games at home, 16.3% more than he's made overall this season while at home.

Favors Under

Andrew Wiggins has been on the court for a measly 27.1 minutes per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 32.7 minutes per game last year.
The matchup vs. the Pelicans is a challenging one for field goal attempts; opposing starting SFs have averaged the least shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (9.1).
The Warriors will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 6th-slowest tempo away team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).
As a team, the Warriors have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the foul line in recent days: worst in the league over the last 25 games, drawing just 16.2 foul shot attempts per game.

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