Andrew Wiggins Points - Player Prop Bet 4/11/2024

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Andrew Wiggins

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Wiggins

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Golden State Warriors · Apr 11, 2024

Updated Apr 12, 2024 1:59 AM EST

Analysis

Andrew Wiggins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-157/+114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -157.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andrew Wiggins has attempted 13.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.
Andrew Wiggins has made 1.9 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 0.6 higher than he's made from downtown over the course of the season.
Andrew Wiggins has averaged a lowly 2.1 personal fouls per game this season, quite a bit less than his 3.0 fouls per game last season.
The 9th-fastest pace-of-play away offense in the NBA this year has been the Warriors.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. Portland is a difficult one for shots from the field; when the Trail Blazers are at home, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled the least shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (8.4).
The Golden State Warriors will likely see a decline in possessions today from squaring off against the 5th-most sluggish pace home offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Trail Blazers).
As a team, the Warriors have been poor at getting to the charity stripe in recent games: worst in the league over the last 25 games with just 15.8 free throws per game.
Andrew Wiggins will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city generally decreases player performance in all facets of the game.

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