Andrew Wiggins Points - Player Prop Bet 4/2/2024

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Andrew Wiggins

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Wiggins

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks · Apr 2, 2024

Updated Apr 3, 2024 2:12 AM EST

Analysis

Andrew Wiggins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-200/+155).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -200.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andrew Wiggins has attempted 13.2 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 higher than he's attempted overall this year.
Andrew Wiggins has converted 47.0% of his 3-point shots over the last 10 games on the road, 12.2% higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year on the road.
Andrew Wiggins has committed a lowly 2.1 personal fouls per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 3.0 fouls per game last year.
The 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Warriors.
The Golden State Warriors are expected to see an increase in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games (the Mavericks).

Favors Under

This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting SFs have totaled 0.8 threes per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, creating a hard matchup.
As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been poor at drawing fouls recently: worst in the NBA over the last 25 games with a mere 16.2 foul shots per game.
Andrew Wiggins will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually worsens player performance in all facets of the game.

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