Andrew Wiggins Points - Player Prop Bet 3/26/2024

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Andrew Wiggins

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Wiggins

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 26, 2024

Updated Mar 27, 2024 3:01 AM EST

Analysis

Andrew Wiggins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-131/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -131.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andrew Wiggins has sunk 48.0% of his 3-point shots over the last 15 games on the road, 11.8% higher than he's converted from three over the course of the season when playing on the road.
The matchup vs. the Heat is a positive one for field goal attempts; the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the 7th-most shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (12.2).
The Warriors have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games without the home court advantage.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank best in in the NBA with 14.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Andrew Wiggins has successfully made 3.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.0 more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season while playing on the road.

Favors Under

The Golden State Warriors check in as the 8th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish tempo in the NBA this year, which should decrease possessions for the Golden State Warriors.
Andrew Wiggins will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally worsens player production in all facets of the game.

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