Andrew Wiggins Points - Player Prop Bet 3/16/2024

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Andrew Wiggins

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Wiggins

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 16, 2024

Updated Mar 17, 2024 12:42 AM EST

Analysis

Andrew Wiggins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -100 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andrew Wiggins has converted 60.0% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games on the road, 24.9% more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season without the home court advantage.
Andrew Wiggins has been called for a lowly 2.1 personal fouls per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 3.0 fouls per game last season.
The matchup against the Lakers is a favorable one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the other team's starting SFs have averaged the most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8).
The Warriors have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to increase plays for the Golden State Warriors.

Favors Under

Andrew Wiggins has played just 26.8 minutes per game this season, significantly less than his 32.7 minutes per game last season.
The Golden State Warriors have been the 4th-least efficient shooting team in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home.
Over the last 15 games, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 1.9 foul shots per game (fewest in the league) against the Los Angeles Lakers, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.
Andrew Wiggins will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court usually lowers player performance for all stats.

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