Andrew Wiggins Points - Player Prop Bet 3/11/2024

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Andrew Wiggins

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Wiggins

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 11, 2024

Updated Mar 12, 2024 12:21 AM EST

Analysis

Andrew Wiggins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andrew Wiggins has converted 55.0% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games on the road, 20.9% higher than he's made from three in all games this season while playing on the road.
The speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Warriors.
The Spurs have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Warriors.
The Golden State Warriors have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
Andrew Wiggins has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 29.9% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season.

Favors Under

This year, opposing starting SFs have averaged 36.0% on shots from the field (weakest in the league) vs. the San Antonio Spurs, designating this as a hard matchup.
With respect to getting to the charity stripe, the Warriors's unimpressive 18.1 free throws per game ranks 3rd-worst in the league over the last 25 games.
Andrew Wiggins ought to suffer a reduction in performance in all stat categories due to playing on the visting team in this contest.

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