Andrew Wiggins Points - Player Prop Bet 1/4/2024

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Andrew Wiggins

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Wiggins

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets · Jan 4, 2024

Updated Jan 5, 2024 3:16 AM EST

Analysis

Andrew Wiggins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andrew Wiggins has attempted 11.1 field goals per game this year, putting him in the 76th percentile out of all players in the league.
This year, the other team has put up 109.8 points per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets, labeling this as a tough matchup for offensive productivity.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out 2ndbest in in the league with 13.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Andrew Wiggins will likely see a spike in output in all stat categories in light of having the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Andrew Wiggins has converted just 26.2% of his 3-pointers this year, quite a bit less than his 35.1 mark last year.
With respect to offense, the Golden State Warriors's lackluster 45.7% field goal percentage with the home court advantage places 3rd-fewest in the league this year.
The Warriors have played at the 6th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games while traveling, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Warriors.
The Nuggets have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the league to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

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