Andrew Wiggins Points - Player Prop Bet 12/25/2023

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Andrew Wiggins

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Wiggins

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors · Dec 25, 2023

Updated Dec 25, 2023 7:48 PM EST

Analysis

Andrew Wiggins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andrew Wiggins has made 1.8 threes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.9 higher than he's converted from three overall this year while playing away from home.
The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a challenging one for 3-point shots; opposing clubs have averaged the 4th-least treys per game in the NBA this year (11.0).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 1stbest in in the league with 13.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

In contrast to last year's 14.2 clip, Andrew Wiggins's shots from the field have been reduced this year to 11.2 per game.
Andrew Wiggins has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 0.9 higher than he's averaged overall this season on the road.
The Golden State Warriors are expected to see a decline in plays today from sharing the court with the slowest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Nuggets).
The Denver Nuggets have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.7) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, opposing squads have attempted 26.0 free throws per game (4th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets, succeeding in their efforts to draw fouls.

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