Andrew Wiggins Points - Player Prop Bet 4/15/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Andrew Wiggins

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors · Apr 15, 2023

Updated Apr 16, 2023 12:51 AM EST

Analysis

Andrew Wiggins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andrew Wiggins has successfully made 52.6% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 5.7% higher than he's made over the course of the season.
Andrew Wiggins has made 2.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile among all players in the NBA.
Andrew Wiggins has tallied 31.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 85th percentile.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 2nd-fastest pace in the league this year.
The Golden State Warriors have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

This matchup is a positive one for field goals; when the Kings are playing at home, opposing clubs have shot for the highest FG% in the NBA against them this year (50.7%).
The Kings have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased plays for the Warriors.
As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been bad at getting to the free throw line: worst in the NBA this year, totaling a lowly 20.2 free throws per game.
This matchup may be a strong one for getting to the free throw line; when the Kings have the home court advantage, opposing squads have attempted a colossal 26.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games (2nd-most in the league).
Andrew Wiggins will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually worsens player performance in all stat categories.