Andrew Wiggins Points - Player Prop Bet 2/6/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Andrew Wiggins

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Feb 6, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Andrew Wiggins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andrew Wiggins has converted 6.8 buckets per game this year, ranking in the 86th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Andrew Wiggins has attempted 6.5 three-pointers per game this year, a big improvement over his 5.3 mark last year.
Andrew Wiggins has averaged 30.9 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the fastest pace in the NBA this year.
The Thunder have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Warriors.

Favors Under

Andrew Wiggins has been called for 2.7 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 86th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
The matchup vs. Oklahoma is a challenging one for 3-pointers; when the Thunder are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PGs have posted the 3rd-lowest three rate in the league this year (29.6%).
The Thunder have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (12.4) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been bad at getting to the free throw line: worst in the NBA this year, averaging a lowly 20.6 free throw attempts per game.
This matchup is a tough one for getting to the free throw line; opposing clubs have attempted a measly 27.3 free throws per game when the Thunder are on the road this year (least in the NBA).