Andrew Wiggins Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/28/2023

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Andrew Wiggins

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Wiggins

F · Golden State Warriors

Made 3 Point Shots

Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat · Dec 28, 2023

Updated Dec 29, 2023 2:54 AM EST

Analysis

Andrew Wiggins Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+129/-179).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andrew Wiggins has successfully made 43.3% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games, 16.7% more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year.
The Golden State Warriors have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 25 games, the other team has collected 9.0 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Heat (turning over possessions that could otherwise lead to bonus opportunities for offense).
Andrew Wiggins should see an increase in effectiveness in all facets of the game as a result of possessing the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Compared to last season's 32.7 rate, Andrew Wiggins's playing time has diminished this season to 26.7 minutes per game.
Among all players in the NBA, Andrew Wiggins rates in the 78th percentile for personal fouls, registering a monstrous 2.4 fouls per game while at home this year.
This matchup is a favorable one for 3-pointers; their opposition has shot for the 9th-highest three rate in the league this year (37.8%).
The 10th-least up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Warriors.
The Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home stadium, which should decrease possessions for the Warriors.

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