Andrew Nembhard Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/2/2023

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Andrew Nembhard

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Nembhard

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Rebounds

Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers · Dec 2, 2023

Updated Dec 3, 2023 1:13 AM EST

Analysis

Andrew Nembhard Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Indiana Pacers have played at the quickest pace in the league when playing at home this year.
The Pacers are expected to see a spike in plays in this game from facing the 9th-fastest pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Miami Heat).
This year when they are playing at home, opposing squads have collected 9.6 offensive boards per game (5th-lowest in the league) vs. the Heat (diminishing possessions that could otherwise spark extra opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Andrew Nembhard has totaled a mere 0.2 offensive boards per game this season, quite a bit less than his 0.5 offensive boards per game last season.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, but the Pacers grade out 3rdworst in in the NBA as the away team with a mere 8.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Andrew Nembhard will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling usually decreases player performance in all stat categories.

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