Andrew Nembhard Points - Player Prop Bet 1/21/2026

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Andrew Nembhard

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Nembhard

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Boston Celtics vs Indiana Pacers · Jan 21, 2026

Updated Jan 22, 2026 2:33 AM EST

Analysis

Andrew Nembhard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-116/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -111.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup against the Celtics is a strong one for 3-point shots; the other team's starting PGs have totaled the most shots from downtown per game in the NBA this year (3.0).
The 5th-fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Indiana Pacers.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, and the Indiana Pacers rank 10th-best in in the league as the away team with 11.7 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

As it relates to scoring, the Pacers's lackluster 106.5 points per game while playing on the road rates worst in the league this year.
The Boston Celtics have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the league this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Pacers.
This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 2.3 free throws per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Boston Celtics, struggling to get to the free-throw line.

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