Andrew Nembhard Points - Player Prop Bet 12/27/2025

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Andrew Nembhard

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Nembhard

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers · Dec 27, 2025

Updated Dec 28, 2025 12:59 AM EST

Analysis

Andrew Nembhard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-142/+112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -126 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ +112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Over the last 10 games, opposing starting PGs have registered 23.1 points per game (4th-highest in the league) against the Miami Heat, identifying this as a positive matchup for offensive performance.
The Miami Heat have played at the fastest pace in the NBA this year, which ought to increase opportunities for the Pacers.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to more chances for scoring and assists, and the Indiana Pacers rank 10th-best in in the league while playing away from home with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 14 games.
Over the last 5 games, opposing starting PGs have attempted 5.8 free throws per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.

Favors Under

In terms of scoring, the Indiana Pacers's feeble 109.2 points per game comes in as the weakest in the NBA this year.
The Pacers have played at the 9th-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 15 games.

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