Andrew Nembhard Points - Player Prop Bet 12/3/2025

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Andrew Nembhard

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Nembhard

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Denver Nuggets · Dec 3, 2025

Updated Dec 4, 2025 12:04 AM EST

Analysis

Andrew Nembhard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Indiana Pacers.
Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Indiana Pacers grade out 8th-best in in the league with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.
The matchup against the Nuggets may be a good one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PGs have attempted a whopping 5.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (4th-most in the league).

Favors Under

As it relates to scoring, the Indiana Pacers's subpar 110.2 points per game places 2nd-fewest in the NBA this year.
This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting PGs have totaled 4.5 3-point attempts per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, marking this as a difficult matchup.
The Indiana Pacers are expected to see a decline in possessions in this game from facing the 3rd-most lethargic tempo road offense in the NBA this year (the Denver Nuggets).

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