Andrew Nembhard Points - Player Prop Bet 6/16/2025

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Andrew Nembhard

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Nembhard

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers · Jun 16, 2025

Updated Jun 16, 2025 11:18 PM EST

Analysis

Andrew Nembhard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-280/+205).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ +170 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +205.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andrew Nembhard has made 43.2% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 15 games, 11.0% more than he's converted from downtown overall this year.
Out of all players in the league, Andrew Nembhard places in the 79th percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 29.9 minutes per game this year.
The Indiana Pacers have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games when playing away from home.
This year, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 44.1% on 3-pointers (2nd-best in the league) vs. the Thunder, designating this as a favorable matchup.
The 7th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Indiana Pacers.

Favors Under

Andrew Nembhard has committed 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 more than he's committed over the course of the season.
The Pacers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Andrew Nembhard has shot and missed 0.8 foul shot attempts per game over the last 5 games, 0.4 more than he's missed overall this year.
Over the last 20 games, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 1.9 free throws per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Thunder, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.
Andrew Nembhard will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court usually decreases player performance across the board.

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