Andrew Nembhard Points - Player Prop Bet 6/11/2025

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Andrew Nembhard

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Nembhard

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Jun 11, 2025

Updated Jun 12, 2025 12:23 AM EST

Analysis

Andrew Nembhard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-275/+200).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ +170 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ +200.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andrew Nembhard has converted 43.9% of his treys over the last 15 games, 12.1% higher than he's made from three over the course of the season.
Andrew Nembhard has played 29.8 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 79th percentile.
In terms of scoring, the Pacers's terrific 118.4 points per game while playing at home measures as the 5th-most in the NBA this year.
The 6th-speediest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Indiana Pacers.
The Pacers are expected to see a rise in opportunities today from competing against the 6th-quickest tempo team in the NBA this year (the Oklahoma City Thunder).

Favors Under

Andrew Nembhard has committed 2.3 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The matchup vs. Oklahoma is a hard one for scoring; when the Oklahoma City Thunder are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SGs have compiled the lowest field goal rate in the NBA this year (34.7%).
The Pacers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.9 foul shots per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.

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