Andrew Nembhard Points - Player Prop Bet 5/29/2025

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Nembhard

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

New York Knicks vs Indiana Pacers · May 29, 2025

Updated May 29, 2025 9:58 PM EST

Analysis

Andrew Nembhard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-260/+190).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ +210 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ +190.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andrew Nembhard has made 58.9% of his field goals over the last 5 games on the road, 11.7% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year without the home court advantage.
Andrew Nembhard has successfully made 60.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games on the road, 25.2% more than he's sunk overall this season without the home court advantage.
Andrew Nembhard has been on the court for 36.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from home, 7.2 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season on the road.
The Indiana Pacers check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The matchup against New York is a good one; when the Knicks are at home, they have allowed the most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SGs this year (21.5).

Favors Under

Andrew Nembhard has been called for 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 0.9 higher than he's been called for in all games this year on the road.
The Knicks have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 15 games in their home stadium, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Indiana Pacers.
Offensive rebounds save possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with just 7.4 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.
The matchup vs. New York may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SGs have attempted a mere 1.9 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the New York Knicks are on their home court (3rd-least in the NBA).
Andrew Nembhard will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road generally worsens stat production in all facets of the game.