Andrew Nembhard Points - Player Prop Bet 5/6/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Andrew Nembhard

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Indiana Pacers · May 6, 2025

Updated May 6, 2025 11:03 PM EST

Analysis

Andrew Nembhard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andrew Nembhard has converted 3.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the season.
Andrew Nembhard has averaged 33.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 higher than he's averaged in all games this season.
In terms of scoring, the Pacers's stellar 123.8 points per game away from their home court rates best in the league over the last 10 games.
The Pacers have played at the 8th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games as the away team.
Andrew Nembhard has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 18.8% more than he's put through the hoop overall this season.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Andrew Nembhard registers in the 77th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a colossal 2.2 fouls per game while playing away from home this year.
The matchup against the Cavaliers is a tough one; they have given up the least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SGs this year (12.1).
The Cavaliers have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Pacers.
The Pacers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Cleveland is a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 1.4 foul shots per game this year when the Cleveland Cavaliers are on their home court (3rd-least in the NBA).