Andrew Nembhard Points - Player Prop Bet 4/22/2025

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Andrew Nembhard

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Nembhard

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks · Apr 22, 2025

Updated Apr 22, 2025 10:48 PM EST

Analysis

Andrew Nembhard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-132/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andrew Nembhard has been on the court for 29.0 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 78th percentile.
As it relates to offense, the Indiana Pacers's stellar 120.4 points per game places 3rd-highest in the NBA over the last 20 games.
This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SGs have shot 43.5% on three-pointers (5th-best in the league) against the Milwaukee Bucks, designating this as a strong matchup.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the league this year.
Andrew Nembhard has made an impressive 1.6 free throws per game this year, quite a bit more than his 0.8 rate last year.

Favors Under

Andrew Nembhard has missed 6.2 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's missed in all games this year.
Andrew Nembhard has been called for 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the league (83rd percentile).
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 9th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games away from their home stadium, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Indiana Pacers.
The Pacers rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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