Andrew Nembhard Points - Player Prop Bet 4/6/2025

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Andrew Nembhard

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Nembhard

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Indiana Pacers · Apr 6, 2025

Updated Apr 6, 2025 7:34 AM EST

Analysis

Andrew Nembhard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+100/-132).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andrew Nembhard has tallied 28.4 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
In regard to offense, the Indiana Pacers's superb 127.2 points per game while playing away from home measures as the 2nd-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting SGs have scored 20.4 points per game (2nd-most in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, creating a favorable matchup for offensive efficiency.
The 7th-speediest pace offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Pacers.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the league on their home court this year, which should increase plays for the Pacers.

Favors Under

The Pacers rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Andrew Nembhard will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road tends to decrease player production in all facets of the game.

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