Andrew Nembhard Points - Player Prop Bet 3/27/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Andrew Nembhard

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Washington Wizards vs Indiana Pacers · Mar 27, 2025

Updated Mar 28, 2025 2:29 AM EST

Analysis

Andrew Nembhard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andrew Nembhard has played 34.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.7 higher than he's played in all games this season.
In terms of shooting, the Pacers's outstanding 119.2 points per game while playing on the road settles in as the 6th-strongest in the league over the last 10 games.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Wizards have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should raise opportunities for the Pacers.
Andrew Nembhard has sunk 91.7% of his free throws over the last 10 games on the road, 10.7% more than he's converted over the course of the season when playing on the road.

Favors Under

Andrew Nembhard has attempted and missed 2.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.9 higher than he's missed from downtown in all games this year away from his home court.
Among all players in the league, Andrew Nembhard ranks in the 78th percentile for personal fouls, registering a massive 2.2 fouls per game on the road this year.
This year when they are away from home, opposing starting SGs have scored 10.9 points per game (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Wizards, designating this as a tough matchup for offensive productivity.
The Indiana Pacers have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 2.2 free throws per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) against the Washington Wizards, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.