Andrew Nembhard Points - Player Prop Bet 3/22/2025

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Andrew Nembhard

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Nembhard

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Brooklyn Nets · Mar 22, 2025

Updated Mar 23, 2025 12:59 AM EST

Analysis

Andrew Nembhard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andrew Nembhard has made 41.3% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games, 10.7% more than he's converted from three overall this season.
Andrew Nembhard has averaged 28.9 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 76th percentile.
In terms of scoring, the Pacers's terrific 118.9 points per game as the home team settles in as the 5th-strongest in the league this year.
The matchup vs. the Nets is a favorable one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled the 2nd-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.2).
The faceoff with Tyrese Martin rates in the 93rd percentile with the other side's starting SGs burying a monstrous 38.1% of their three-point attempts this year.

Favors Under

Andrew Nembhard has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the league (86th percentile).
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the most lethargic tempo in the league this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Indiana Pacers.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Pacers rank 1stworst in in the NBA when playing at home with a mere 7.5 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.
Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 0.4 foul shots per game (lowest in the league) against the Brooklyn Nets, making it tough to draw fouls.

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