Andrew Nembhard Points - Player Prop Bet 3/19/2025

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Andrew Nembhard

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Nembhard

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 19, 2025

Updated Mar 20, 2025 12:05 AM EST

Analysis

Andrew Nembhard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andrew Nembhard has played 29.1 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 76th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
In terms of offense, the Indiana Pacers's stellar 118.8 points per game on their home court measures as the 5th-best in the league this year.
The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks is a good one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the opposition's starting SGs have averaged the 5th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.1).
The 6th-most up-tempo pace home team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Pacers.
The Pacers will likely see a rise in possessions today from sharing the court with the 7th-quickest pace visiting offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Dallas Mavericks).

Favors Under

Andrew Nembhard has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the league (84th percentile).
The Pacers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 20 games, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 2.9 free throws per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Mavericks, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

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